Monday, August 13, 2018

Impact of Wind turbine vibrations on Ground water and Shale




Impact of Wind turbine vibrations on Ground water and Shale
Ground water contamination has been reported from Canada, from areas where the bedrock is comprised of shale,. This needs to be investigated as in Pakistan we have areas where wind is feasible and the bedrock or geology is shale based. Large wind turbines are getting larger and therefore require a large pylon to support the machine. This requires to pile-drive a massive steel beams into the bedrock. The problem is that the bedrock may be  made of shale and is known to contain uranium and arsenic. Vibration from the pile-driving breaks up this toxic shale below the groundwater and contaminates it. Area residents can’t drink, bathe, or wash their clothes because of this. Water wells are being poisoned  . Construction of wind turbines continues even though scientific tests at several farms show that well water has been contaminated.
Canadian users of ground water, attribute contamination of ground water to the wind turbines being built nearby and the companies developing them.  A large number of local rural residents who believe the problems with their well water owe to the interaction between local wind farm development and the area’s unique geology. The sedimentary bedrock — dark in color and fine-grained — lurks beneath most of Chatham-Kent. It’s known to contain sulphur, carbon, and toxic heavy metals. A resident says that his well was drilled by his father half a century ago and had always run clear — until sediment clogged it last October. Now, the water is the color of tea and when poured and small particles sink to the bottom of a glass. 
Ensuing government research debunked some of the claims. A 2014 health federal health study, for instance, showed that “annoyance” was the sole condition found to increase as levels of wind turbine noise increased. (The report did note that community annoyance was statistically related to health effects such as migraines, blood pressure changes, tinnitus, and stress.). But events in Chatham-Kent raise the possibility that the massive wind catchers pose unique and under-considered risks to the region’s environment, and the health and safety of its residents.  
Spokesman for Water Wells First and an area farmer says the concern is that vibrations — either from pile driving during the construction phase or, eventually, the everyday operations of the turbines — might disturb the fragile Kettle Point black shale bedrock and contaminate the ancient aquifer that serves as the local source of well water. The worry was justified: It is well established that vibrations from pile driving can damage nearby structures. As for ordinary turbine operations, one recent Canadian study found a relationship between the vibrations and ground material within 100 meters of the structure.
Moreover, Water Wells First contends that the company and ministry didn’t take the special characteristics of the local geology into account. Residents realized their worst fears as the project began the construction phase last summer. Nineteen wells began to experience sediment problems, nearly a third of the 64 wells that the group members had tested at their own expense. Bill Clarke, a hydro geologist for Water Wells First who gathered and analyzed the samples, says follow-up testing showed the affected wells experienced changes in water turbidity, amount of particles, color, and rate of flow. While he says some of the changes were marginal, others were alarming. In one instance, the black shale particle count jumped from 47 particles per milliliter to 681,939 — with nearly half of the particles being as tiny as those found in cigarette smoke.
Tiny particles are potentially dangerous because they can be too small to settle to the bottom of a well, nor can they be controlled using conventional water filtration systems. A medical geologist based in Ingersoll, says the acidic atmosphere in the stomach can break down the binding between a clay-based shale particle and any heavy metals attached, allowing the metals to settle in other areas of the body rather than to pass through our digestive system.
“What is actually happening out there as best as I can put together,” Clarke says, “is that there are vibrations that are happening down around the 20-metre level, where the top of the shale is taking place.” The vibrations  from pile driving, and later, from the turbines’ operation create waves like the ripples that fan out in water when people throw rocks into a pond. When the waves from different turbines intersect, they can either cancel each other out, he says — or amplifies the effect.
“If you have a well at that intersection where waves are really reinforcing each other,” it means the shale at the base of the well is being shaken as hard as it would be in an earthquake. That kicks up the particles, and you’re “going to see your water go a [dark] color.”The water: ‘certainly unappealing,’ but is it also dangerous?
Pattern Development, which is developing the farm with Samsung Renewable Energy, defends the preparatory research on the project. Jody Law, a Pattern project developer, says the environmental assessment to obtain the renewable energy approval was rigorous. The developer monitored wells and vibrations during the construction phase, which Law says is a new requirement from the ministry. Sensors were used to monitor vibrations on some (but not all) turbine locations as they were being planted into the ground. The developer inspected all of the complaints it received (16, according to North Kent Wind’s website), and has determined pile driving isn’t to blame for any problems local residents are having with their well water.
This month, the ministry supported those conclusions  and also declared the water was safe to drink despite the sediment. “Water containing fine particles could appear cloudy or turbid,” a ministry representative wrote in a Feb. 1 letter to Paul and Jessica Brooks, the property owners with the especially high black shale particle counts. “Turbid water is certainly unappealing but according to the Chatham-Kent Medical Officer of Health, in the absence of bacterial contamination there is no health hazard from un-dissolved particles in water.”
In an email responding to TVO’s written questions, a spokesman for the Ministry of the Environment and Climate Change responds in part: “The ministry takes concerns about groundwater quality very seriously and we are actively holding the company accountable for addressing complaints related to changes in well water quality and/or quantity.”
Jakubec says there are ways to fix the problem — if the group can ever convince the ministry the vibration issue exists. Adding dampeners to problem towers is one way, or, once a well is affected, specialized filtration equipment that can handle small particles could be installed.
Three days after his water disappeared, North Kent Wind’s developers began supplying him with huge water containers of non-potable water and jugs of drinkable water. Law says that Pattern has been delivering the water to other residents who have complained about well water quality since construction began. They’re being good neighbors, he says. After the ministry sent its letter to the Brooks, however, Pattern announced it would stop the water deliveries.
Vibrations from wind turbines, a phenomena known as seismic coupling, is being blamed for sedimentation in more than 20 water wells in this southwestern Ontario municipality. More than 460 rural residents have signed a petition, which was presented to the municipal council Aug. 22, asking for a moratorium on further development. The controversy concerns those in the former Township of Dover just east of Lake St. Clair and a new project, North Kent Wind One, headed by Pattern Energy and Samsung Renewable Energy.Jakubec said developers were informed of the concern at a public meeting last November but have yet to respond.
Ontario’s Ministry of Environment and Climate Change has acknowledged there may be concern. Under the Renewable Energy Approval, Pattern and Samsung are to test well water if residents complain, offer an opinion as to whether turbines are to blame, and supply bottled water until the issue is resolved.  Jakubec said well water issues are often first noticed when piles are driven into the earth to anchor the giant machines. In some instances, problems clear up but in others they continue. There have even been cases of turbidity levels fluctuating in relationship to the direction and intensity of the wind
Wade said turbines can be retrofitted to dampen vibrations and alternative anchoring systems are available, but those would cost more. The water table is fragile in Dover, part of a geological area stretching from Lake Huron to Chatham-Kent. There are just 50 to 70 feet of overburden in most places covering black shale bedrock.  
Jakubec and Stainton said there are studies from Scotland and Italy that have identified seismic coupling. Jakubec, a green energy researcher, said impacts tend to be felt from 1.5 to five kilometers away from turbine locations. Geological engineer Maurice Dusseault wasn’t surprised to hear that Chatham-Kent water wells were contaminated in the wake of pile driving for wind turbines.“Pile driving emits a lot of low-frequency energy, and it is not at all surprising to me that there could be related groundwater effects. The concept of large-amplitude, low frequency excitation as an aid to liquid flow is reasonably well-known,” the University of Waterloo professor said. “Low frequency deformation waves are absolutely known to lead to fluctuation in ground water levels as well as changes in the particulate count in shallow groundwater wells.”
In addition, Dusseault said affected residents were well-advised in having their wells baseline tested prior to construction last summer. It’s the type of evaluation he recommends. Before and after tests sent by the Water Wells First citizens’ group to RTI Laboratories in Michigan show an exponential increase [in] turbidity among the 14 affected wells, including [a] large proportion that can be attributed to Kettle [Point] black shale particles that are known to contain heavy metals, including uranium, arsenic and lead.
That’s not the conclusion reached by the Ministry of the Environment and Climate Change, as outlined in letters recently sent to affected well owners living near the North Kent One project in the northern part of the Municipality of Chatham-Kent. Whilst there’s been an admission that wells have indeed been contaminated.  That contamination can only be attributed to “unidentified factors.” Pile-driving activities associated with wind turbine development are not to blame, the MOECC maintains.
The MOECC, in coming to its conclusion, relied upon the vibration evaluations prepared for the developers Samsung and Pattern Energy, by Golder Associates Limited. Golder measured changes to particle velocity as a measure of vibration intensity created by pile driving.
“The ministry has reviewed Golder’s assessment and agreed with the conclusion that any pile driving -induced vibrations at your well would have been much lower than those created during common daily activities around the homes,” a letter to one of the affected families states. The parameters used by Golder, however, may be flawed….
“This is a complicated issue because there is reason to believe that it is the very low frequencies that may perturb the aquifer, whereas higher frequencies have no effect. Thus, if their vibration sensors are not picking up the low frequencies (lower than one Hertz), it would be difficult to make general comment about the vibration,” Dusseault said.
Heavy equipment was used to drive steel beams to the black shale bedrock, located 50 to 70 feet below the soil surface, to anchor each of the North Kent Wind turbines. The aquifer from which most well owners in the area draw their water is located just above the shale. The same type of vibration could be created by the operation of the turbines, “if there are continued low frequency but reasonably large-amplitude excitations set up by the wind turbine through the connection to the foundations seated in the rock … and of course this is based on direct evidence (earthquake-induced effects), not indirect inference (peak particle velocity) for which there is not a proven causality,” he said.
The concerns have been dismissed by Chatham-Kent’s Medical Officer of Health who concluded that there is no health risk from undisclosed particles in water when no bacteria are present. Jakubec, however, said there are at least two potential pathways through which the heavy metals in black shale particles can enter the human body.


Sunday, August 12, 2018

The Article 370




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The Article 370
The Article 370 is a temporary and interim arrangement in light of Instrument of conditional Accession. With respect to J&K, the India’s strength and weaknesses are based in “Instrument of conditional Accession” and Article 370 is the reflection of the same. The relationship of Jammu & Kashmir with Indian Union is based on the “Instrument of conditional Accession” proposed and signed by the Maharaja on 26th of Oct. 1947 and letter of acceptance Dated 27th Oct 1947 of Lord Mountbatten Governor General of India. The conditional Accession has two most important features.
1.    The letter of acceptance as a collateral document forms an indispensible part of Accession and it reveals that the Accession was termed as subject of “dispute” making its acceptance “provisional” subject to ratification by “Reference to the people”
2.    . 2. Maharaja Hari Singh in accordance with the proposed terms of Accession, agreed to be part of Union of India, allowing it to make laws for this state only with respect to Defense, External Affairs and Communication.

 The Accession also vide clause 7 made it categorically clear that “Nothing in this instrument shall be deemed to commit mean any way too acceptance of any future constitution of India or to fetter any discretion to enter into arrangements with Govt. of India under any such future constitution”. Thus at the time of Accession Jammu & Kashmir was the only state to declare its intention to have its own constitution, to be drafted by its own Constituent Assembly.

The terms of Accession of Kashmir with Union of India were maintained till the Constituent Assembly of India was charged with tasks of framing a constitution. Earlier to this the political leader ship of Kashmir and Government of India had agreed that “in view of the special problems arising in respect of this state and the fact that the Government of India have assured its people that they would themselves finally through a “plebiscite” determine their political future” and till then for running day to day affairs a temporary special position should be accorded to Jammu & Kashmir in the future constitution so that a limited field of the Union over the State is ensured. Four representatives were nominated from the Jammu & Kashmir State to represent in Constituent Assembly of India. It was at this stage that the constitutional position of the State was made temporary as defined “Article 370” in the Constitution of India. It was made clear that, till the right of ‘self determination’ is exercised by the people, the state shall be governed temporarily through Article 370 and the Autonomy of the state with regards all other subjects outside the ambit of the Instrument of Accession should be preserved. 
Thus Article 370 mentioned as temporary provision in the Constitution of India, thus does not mean that is it capable of being abrogated, modified or replaced unilaterally. In actual effect, temporary mater of this article arises merely from the fact that the power to finalize constitutional relationship between the state and the Union of India was specifically vested in the Jammu & Kashmir Constituent Assembly. It followed that whatever modification’s, amendments or exceptions that may become necessary either to Article 370 or any other article in the Constitution of India in their application to the Jammu & Kashmir State shall be subject to the decisions of this constituent body only. Thus with the dissolution of constituent assembly on 25th of Jan 1956 in terms of its resolution dated 17 Jan the constitutional relations between union of India and Jammu & Kashmir stands sealed and were final.
The powers of the president to extend other provisions of the Indian constitution to Jammu & Kashmir also stands seized as the Jammu & Kashmir Constituent Assembly vested with concurrence powers is non-existent. But unfortunately till date through various Presidents orders, which are unconstitutional and illegal, as many 94 of the 97 entries in the union list were extended to Jammu & Kashmir as were 260 of the 395 articles of the constitution, thus rendering the Article - 370 in present form as lifeless. 

 Kashmiri political leadership of all shades should demand in one voice conducting of “One time Special Election” not for governance, but for creation of the Jammu & Kashmir Constituent Assembly once again to debate the “temporary nature of Article – 370 in light of Conditional Accession”. This body shall provide an opportunity to one and all, to put forth their perception and possible solution of Kashmir issue be it Azadi, Autonomy or Self-Rule
Article 370 of the Indian constitution is an article that gives autonomous status to the state of Jammu and Kashmir. The article is drafted in Part XXI of the Constitution: Temporary, Transitional and Special Provisions. The Constituent Assembly of Jammu and Kashmir, after its establishment, was empowered to recommend the articles of the Indian constitution that should be applied to the state or to abrogate the Article 370 altogether. After the J&K Constituent Assembly later created the state's constitution and dissolved itself without recommending the abrogation of Article 370, the article was deemed to have become a permanent feature of the Indian Constitution.[
Text: Temporary provisions with respect to the State of Jammu and Kashmir
(1) Notwithstanding anything contained in this Constitution,—
(a) the provisions of article 238 shall not apply now in relation to the state of Jammu and Kashmir;[a]
(b) the power of Parliament to make laws for the said state shall be limited to—
(i) those matters in the Union List and the Concurrent List which, in consultation with the Government of the State, are declared by the President to correspond to matters specified in the Instrument of Accession governing the accession of the State to the Dominion of India as the matters with respect to which the Dominion Legislature may make laws for that State; and
(ii) such other matters in the said Lists as, with the concurrence of the Government of the State, the President may by order specify.

Article 35A of the Indian Constitution is an article that empowers the Jammu and Kashmir state's legislature to define “permanent residents” of the state and provide special rights and privileges to those permanent residents. It was added to the Constitution through a Presidential Order, i.e., The Constitution (Application to Jammu and Kashmir) Order, 1954 - issued by the President of India on 14 May 1954, exercising the powers conferred by the clause (1) of the Article 370 of the Indian Constitution, and with the concurrence of the Government of the State of Jammu and Kashmir
Text: Saving of laws with respect to permanent residents and their rights. — Notwithstanding anything contained in this Constitution, no existing law in force in the State of Jammu and Kashmir, and no law hereafter enacted by the Legislature of the State
(a) defining the classes of persons who are, or shall be, permanent residents of the State of Jammu and Kashmir; or


(b) conferring on such permanent residents any special rights and privileges or imposing upon other persons any restrictions as respects—
(i) employment under the State Government;
(ii) acquisition of immovable property in the State;
(iii) settlement in the State; or
(iv) right to scholarships and such other forms of aid as the State Government may provide,
shall be void on the ground that it is inconsistent with or takes away or abridges any rights conferred on the other citizens of India by any provision of this part."












Saturday, August 11, 2018

Amount of Variable Renewable Energy (Solar and Wind) that can be connected to the Pakistani Grid System

Amount of Variable Renewable Energy (Solar and Wind) that can be connected to the Pakistani Grid System

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RE (Renewable energy)or VRE ( Variable RE)  interconnection requires that the grid must add reactive loads; both capacitive and inductive loads are required to provide voltage stability in over and under voltage conditions. SVCs or FACT devices are required to provide speedy in time insertion of these inductive loads to prevent voltage and system collapse.  The other factor related to solar is that there is need for a large geographic area, with possibly multiple time zones, so that day light hours are stretched. The wind turbine in itself presents technical problems but by far the greatest matter of concern is the supply variability of both wind and solar , this necessitates that the grid have suitable spinning reserves, flexible base load plants and inductive loads coupled to FACT  or SVC devices to inset reactive load in abnormal conditions .
Pakistan’s grid network has suffered frequent voltage and system collapse during the last 15 years. These have been at times system wide and at times have been restricted of the Southern Network. Quetta-Baluchistan network also suffers for instability and voltage collapse.( SVC has not been installed in Quetta , instead NTDC has proposed to add  220kV Sibi-Mastung-Quetta, Loralai double circuit transmission lines   it is not clear if this will address the instability in Quetta system  NTDC in a submission to NEPRA stated that voltage profile as low as 180kV and 170kV instead of the nominal voltage of 220kV at Sibbi and Quetta Grid stations , respectively. 170 kV represents 0.77 pu. voltage which translates to 0.6 pu. capacitance , SVC would add capacitance in time to avert system   and voltage collapse . NTDC has also decided to include in their investment program, construction of the new 220kV, Guddu-Sibbi single circuit transmission line, for improvement of power supply system in southern areas at a total cost of Rs8.36bn, it does not seem that the steps proposed by NTDC will rectify the deficiency in the transmission system, although these step will mitigate the issue somewhat).  A SVC at Lahore has been installed to maintain the stability of the primary system, another one planned at Quetta has not materialized. The causes of this instability are, many and include in the last 10 years the lack of any spinning reserves and the fact that the system was operated in violation of the frequency requirements set by the Gird code.  Some incidents were caused due to equipment and relaying failures. A fully functional grid system is absolutely necessary for VRE capacity to be connected to a large integrated grid system. VRE addition requires serious upgrades in the grid, establishing communication protocols and deploying control and protection systems that cater to this rise in VRE capacity,
RE presents a challenge in so far as:  properties of wind and solar include the constraints imposed by the weather conditions, VRE plants are smaller in size as compared to conventional generators and connects in a more dispersed manner and VRE uses equipments that connects to the grid using power conventional technologies which are different to conventional generators and therefore present a challenge to grid integration. VRE present less of a challenge in systems where there is a good match between demand and VRE supply, further systems that are perkier and cater to varying supplies over the year are better placed to absorb VRE. Our system with a large hydroelectric supply and large power flows from either the North or South to the Central load centers should have the ability to cater to integration of a reasonable amount of VRE capacity It should also be mentioned that geographic location of a wind plant will affect the benefit it has for the system, at different location wind plants will have widely varying benefits to the system. Additional system costs (other than “normal” interconnection costs) needed to integrate VRE to the grid system adds about US$400/kW to the cost of a typical wind plant, this translates to an additional 1.45 c/kWh to the cost of generation.

GOPA study presents an analysis of the Pakistan Grid with reference to RE interconnection. The conclusions reached are:
1.       2224 MW wind and solar capacity can be added, with the following grid additions: 25 MVAr capacitors at Bhan Saedabad grid station; 120 MVAr Thyristor controlled reactor (TCR) inductive 200 MVAr MSC Capacitive SVC at Lal Suhanra.; Power system stabilizers (PSS) at two synchronous generators at Hub and Jamshoro. ; And operation of some renewable generators in voltage droop control mode would be beneficial.
2.       In the next phase major additional reinforcements are required these would allow the full 4067 (phase I) of renewable generation to be added but it will also facilitate addition totally 9332 MW (including the 4067 MW capacity discussed earlier) of renewable energy to be added. Improvements required are :  Lal Suhanra region requires reinforcement of 220kV system where a new collection substation is to be installed  and two radial 220kV lines are closed to form a ring  This requires addition of 80 km double circuit 220kV transmission lines , 5 km single circuit 220kV transmission line and 5 additional 220/132 kV power transformers including transformer bays . Reinforcements of the Southern wind corridor requires a new 500kV Jhampir grid station , 90 km 220kV and 500kV transmission lines , a 200MVAr capacitor at Jhampir and 100 MVAr shunt capacitors at Gharo are required .  600MVAr SVC (600MVAr TCR and 300MVAr TSC) at Shikarpur are also required.
3.       Spinning reserve requirements will increase to 1500 MW 500MW more than required by the system in 2018, Thus RE will need an additional 500 MW spinning reserves.
4.       Dispatch will, require to: re-execute wind and OV prediction at 1-4 hours ahead; and shorten the dispatch cycle from 30 min to 15 min.
5.       Wind and PV generators need to have provisions for operation in defined conditions. (Modern VRE plants connect to the grid using electronic power converters or inverters; these can be programmed to allow the way in which a VRE power plant behaves on the power grid to be controlled.) 
6.       Addition of specified levels of RE generation results in a higher NPV as compared to the one without RE capacity.
There is consensus on the fact that addition of up to 30% RE capacity is possible with needed inductive loads and SVCs but higher than that capacity will require new approaches on operating and extending grids. Variability of RE due to weather Introduces uncertainty in generation output .These could affect 70% of solar capacity due to cloud cover and 100% of wind capacity due to still days. This requires base load capacity that can follow load to be interconnected, these are costs. To reduce reserves and spinning reserve costs it is recommended that: there needs to be improvement in weather and wind forecast accuracy; forecasts should be for shorter periods than a day
  Features of VRE that pose challenges to grid managers:
1)      Variability: This is the biggest and most vexing  
Power plants that run on fuel (along with some hydro and geothermal plants) can be ramped up and down on command. They are, in the jargon, "dispatch able." But VRE plants produce power only when the wind is blowing or the sun is shining. Grid operators don't control VRE; they accommodate it, which requires some agility. The figure above  shows one week of electricity supply and demand (details and location not particularly important). The green at the bottom is power coming in from wind. The yellow at the top is total demand. The orange in the middle is the gap between the two, the amount that has to be supplied by conventional power plants.
Another way of looking at it: from the perspective of the grid operator, who has control over a set amount of dispatch able power, VRE energy supply is functionally equivalent to reduction in demand — large, rapidly rising and falling fluctuations in demand for dispatch able power.
On the chart above, "shorter peaks" refers to times when conventional plants are supplying the day's "peak load," which is when power is most valuable. VRE reduces or "shaves" the peak, thus screwing with the economics of conventional plants. "Steeper ramps" refers to times when conventional plants have to increase or decrease their output quickly in response to fluctuations in VRE — often more quickly than they are designed or regulated for. And "lower turn-down" means that in times of high VRE supply, conventional plants will have to run at the lowest output they are capable of, i.e., "minimum load." All these effects of variability pose challenges to the rules and economics that govern existing power infrastructure.
2) Uncertainty: The output of VRE plants cannot be predicted with perfect accuracy in day-ahead and day-of forecasts, so grid operators have to keep excess reserve running just in case.
3) Location-specificity: Sun and wind are stronger (and thus more economical) in some places than in others  and not always in places that have the necessary transmission infrastructure to get the power to where it's needed.
4) Non synchronous generation: Conventional generators provide voltage support and frequency control to the grid. VRE generators can too, potentially, but it's an additional capital investment.
5) Low capacity factor: VRE plants only run when sun or wind cooperates. The average capacity factor — production relative to potential — for utility-scale solar PV was around 28 percent; for wind, 34 percent. (By way of comparison, the average capacity factor of   nuclear power was 92 percent; those plants are almost always producing power.) Because of the low capacity factor of VRE, conventional plants are needed to take up the slack, but because of the high output of VRE in peak hours, conventional plants sometimes don't get to run as often as needed to recover costs.
The challenges to integrating high levels of VRE into the grid are technically solvable:
Regional grid integration studies conducted to date have indicated that there is nearly always a technological fix that can be adopted at some cost (e.g., a change in operation or piece of hardware that can be added to the grid). So, simply deploying extremely large amounts of transmission and storage (or some other set of technologies), and modifying the RE generation to maintain system operational parameters could enable 100% penetration of wind and solar. So the VRE carrying capacity of a grid is technically 100 percent, if cost is no issue. But cost tends to be an issue. So NREL posits a difference kind of carrying capacity:
The limit to RE penetration is primarily economic, driven by factors that include transmission availability and operational flexibility, which is the ability of the power grid to balance supply and demand. This limit can be expressed as economic carrying capacity, or the level of variable RE generation at which that generation is no longer economically competitive or desirable to the system or society.
This notion of "economic carrying capacity" clarifies our original question. Technically speaking, we can integrate as much VRE as we want, as long as we're willing to keep spending more money on grid-integration solutions. The question is, at what point is it cheaper, from a total cost-benefit perspective, to resort to low-carbon alternatives to VRE? And wherever that point is, will it still be there when we actually reach it?

Solutions for integrating solar and wind into the grid...
Improved planning and coordination: This is the first step, making sure that VRE is matched up with appropriately flexible dispatch able plants and transmission access so that energy can be shared more fluidly within and between grid regions.
Flexible demand and storage: To some extent, demand can be managed like supply. "Demand response" programs aggregate customers willing to let their load be ramped up and down or shifted in time. The result is equivalent, from the grid operator's perspective, to dispatch able supply. There's a whole range of demand-management tools available and more coming online all the time.
Similarly, energy storage, by absorbing excess VRE at times when it's cheap and sharing it when it's more valuable, can help even out VRE's variable supply. It can even make VRE dispatch able, within limits. (For example, some concentrated solar plants have molten-salt storage, which makes their power available 24 hours a day.)
Flexible conventional generation: Though older coal and nuclear plants are fairly inflexible, with extended shut-down, cool-off, and ramp-up times, lots of newer and retrofitted conventional plants are more nimble — and can be made more so by a combination of technology and improved practices. Grid planners can favor more flexible non-VRE options like natural gas and small-scale combined heat and power (CHP) plants.
Cycling conventional plants up and down more often does come with a cost, but the cost is typically smaller than the fuel savings from increased VRE.
Flexible VRE: New technology enables wind turbines to "provide the full spectrum of balancing services (synthetic inertial control, primary frequency control, and automatic generation control)," and both wind turbines and solar panels can now offer voltage control. 
Interconnected transmission networks:   Wind and solar resources become less variable if aggregated across a broader region. The bigger the geographical area linked up by power lines, the more likely it is that the sun is shining or the wind is blowing somewhere within that area.
Power system planning. Power system planning needs to shift from a conventional methodology where base load, intermediate load and peak load capacity is added to fit the demand curve. A new approach necessitates that capacity be added firstly through VRE sources and then base load, intermediate load and peak load capacity be added, demand shift is also factored into the planning regime.  
Conclusions and Recommendations
Pakistani grid could absorb about 10000 MWs of RE capacity( excluding roof tops, net metering  and isolated grids using  wind or solar) in the next 10 years, but to do that there is need to carry out improvements in the grid system including placing inductive loads that can be switched on by FACT or SVC devices. There is also need to modify the specifications of the wind turbine permitted to be added to the system.  Development of the grid system is the key to enhanced absorption of VRE into the energy mix. Solutions for adding sizeable VRE capacity include: use smart inverters with advanced functionality; mimic synchronous generators; and provide active power, reactive power, voltage, and frequency control.   
 Wind capacity in the Gharo-Jampir wind corridor will depend upon the transmission transfer capacity between the South and North. Wind capacity should also be added in the three other wind zones (In Baluchistan and KP). Solar can and should be added all over the country, perhaps instead of aiming at economy of scale (cost reduction due to size)  more dispersed , smaller plants be installed all over the solar  zone in all Provinces( smaller plants will add to operational issues though, especially under abnormal conditions) ..    

Friday, August 10, 2018

My Dearest Enemy By Javed Rashid


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My Dearest Enemy
By Javed Rashid

My life underwent a drastic upheaval on his arrival. Abu Bakar 's arrival changed my life all together , before his arrival I was the star , life was one great fun . Parents and uncles and grandparents seem to have no other task then to entertain me. My wish was their command. Life was trips to parks, zoos, fun lands and nice foods. There were toys galore, all kind of toys was with me and people seem to have lots of time for me. Those sure were the days. 
My excellent suggestion to my maternal grandfather to leave Abu Bakar at the hospital was sadly ignored. My grandfather wanted to know what we should do with the new baby , and I told him that this tiny little, wining and sleeping thing should be deposited in the garbage can . This excellent suggestion received laughter. Even now this is narrated to all and sundry and never fails to receive lots of laughter; I to this day fail to see the humor in this. Had my grandfather acted on my brilliant advice my life would have been much better than it is now
The first thing that Abu Bakar did was to hog mum's time, she was busy almost the whole day in feeding him or burping home or cleaning him. He seemed very anti social to me , slept most of the times , but got up after a short sleep , drank milk and was dirty so had to be cleaned and then he went back to sleep . He cried a lot , in all this mother had very little time for me , my needs were sadly ignored , when I got up in  the morning there was no body to look after my needs , sometimes that made my cry , but was fully justified of course  . Father and uncles and grandparents also had that much less time for me , they seem to enjoy the silly things that Abu Bakar did ,  his  first smile or non sense baby talk  received  oodles of ooh's and aha's from all , I could not see what was so likable in the disgusting things that the baby did , but grownups are funny have no understanding of what is beautiful and what is gross . I could say whole sentences but this no longer was found so exciting.  
I  increasing got into trouble on account of Abu Bakar, mother and others would  remind  me ' Bilal do not hit your brother he is so little and would be hurt ', I was only practicing my cricket and if my bat accidentally hit him on the head it should not have been such a big deal , instead mother got angry and yelled at me and everyone else was also not please with me . He is so stupid that he cannot evade the ball that I hurl at him and immediately starts to weep when hit, attracting the wrath of my parents and more sanctions. These days I seem to get into trouble all the time, every insignificant scratch that Abu Bakar gets because he is unable to anticipate the path of my cycle or bat or ball results in more punishment for me. People seem to think that I do this deliberately, but it happens and when it does happen it does not seem so bad to me though.

Oddly for all these troubles that he has caused me I get angry when someone else hurts him or calls him names. The  barber who cut my  hair was praising me when he said that Abu Bakar is a sissy little boy , since Abu Bakar ,as was usual with him , was crying at the slightest pretext , I on the other hand did not weep at all , did I did not like and told this barber guy that my little brother was not stupid or sissy , he is just a baby . Someone reminded me that I also wept when I was little, when my hairs were cut, some people have long memories and remember useless details and also do not know when to keep quiet and when to speak. Grownups have no sense of proportion and propriety at all.  
My other problem with Abu Bakar has been that he is never interested in the activities that I am , if I play cricket , he is fond of foot ball , if I like cars he prefers aero planes . Seems he is interested in things that I do not like. Toys that should have been mine are given to him, this I control by not allowing him to play with any toy mine or his , he in any case destroys toys and has no sense of how to use these toys , therefore I keep all these to myself, sometimes I am forced by mother to share these toys so I give him a few of the toys to play but I get these back as soon as mother is off to do something else .